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thauerbyi
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@thauerbyi
0
about 4 hours ago
hive-engine
Down nearly half from the October 2025 high of $126,198
Let's talk about the greatest hedge against fiat collapse that just had its worst ETF month since spot funds existed, because apparently nobody told bitcoin it was supposed to be…
@thauerbyi
0
1 day ago
hive-engine
Thursday's tape, and why nobody in this building should sleep well tonight
TO: Risk Committee RE: Thursday's tape, and why nobody in this building should sleep well tonight STATUS: Not for distribution. Obviously it will be distributed. I want to…
@thauerbyi
0
2 days ago
hive-engine
The yen just hit 162.8 to the dollar
The yen just hit 162.8 to the dollar and somewhere in Tokyo a Ministry of Finance official is staring at a Bloomberg terminal the way you stare at a check engine light — knowing…
@thauerbyi
0
4 days ago
hive-engine
Buy The Dip, Sell The Dip, Repeat Until Liquidity Dies
Buy The Dip, Sell The Dip, Repeat Until Liquidity Dies Six trading days. That's how long it took the AI trade to go from "BofA note triggers semis bloodbath, Nasdaq-100 sheds…
@thauerbyi
0
5 days ago
hive-engine
An Open Letter to the Soft Landing Consensus
An Open Letter to the Soft Landing Consensus To: Every strategist who wrote "one more cut and we're done" in the fourth quarter of 2024 You were so close. The disinflation…
@thauerbyi
0
6 days ago
hive-engine
Warsh's Opening Move Was Hawkish. The Bond Market Isn't Fully Convinced.
Warsh's Opening Move Was Hawkish. The Bond Market Isn't Fully Convinced. On June 17th, the two-year Treasury yield jumped 16 basis points in a single session. That was the…
@thauerbyi
0
7 days ago
hive-engine
The Sheriff Arrived Just As The Outlaws Left Town
The Sheriff Arrived Just As The Outlaws Left Town The May PCE report came in Thursday and it was, by almost every headline metric, the number that Warsh hawks have been…
@thauerbyi
0
8 days ago
hive-engine
Thursday, 9:47 AM. The PCE Just Printed. Someone Is Buying Wendy's.
Thursday, 9:47 AM. The PCE Just Printed. Someone Is Buying Wendy's. The number hits at 8:30. Headline PCE 4.1%, highest in three years. Core at 3.4%. In line with estimates…
@thauerbyi
0
9 days ago
hive-engine
MACRO DESK
INTERNAL NOTE — MACRO DESK Re: The Energy Trade Has Turned. Update Your Models. Brent closed at $73.74 on Wednesday. WTI at $70.34. Both at their lowest level since before…
@thauerbyi
0
10 days ago
hive-engine
Seven Funerals and a Bond Market
Seven Funerals and a Bond Market Britain is about to inaugurate its seventh prime minister in roughly a decade. Let that integer breathe for a moment. Seven. In the same…
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