Possible impact of asteroid 2024 YR4 on Earth

At the moment it is unlikely that the asteroid 2024 YR4 will impact the earth, currently 2024 YR4 has a rating of three on the Turin scale, the Turin scale measures the potential danger of an asteroid or comet, after the discovery all monitoring systems were launched to collect as much data as possible, logically as a result the probability of impact has been gradually increasing during the last month, this is not usually the norm, I warn you, the normal thing is that an asteroid and astronomers tend to be quite pessimistic with the first analysis.

There may be a certain risk, there may be a significant impact percentage but then accumulating data, and calculating the trajectory better, and analyzing the asteroid more because that margin is decreasing is what usually happens, but in this case it seems that it is the other way around, until now the latest data is from January 27 and has already exceeded the 1% probability of impact, for me it is important.

I would not risk losing a city, even if it later fell into the ocean, I would not risk it for 1 chance in 100, the question is can the percentage continue to increase because perhaps, as I repeat, the opposite is normal, but in addition in this case we have two problems, the first is that it is a small asteroid and the second is that its next pass near the Earth will be quite far away, between 8 and 7 million kilometers, which means it will be difficult to collect more data about it and we do not have much. longer, because the next one will be on that critical date of December 22, 2032.

So the question, what can be done in case the percentage increases, we could launch a mission to divert it, it is not a giant asteroid, it is even smaller as I told you before than the dimorphic asteroid, the one that was diverted by the Dart mission, that asteroid was called 160 meters in diameter, but let's assume that we sent that mission, I would send three rockets, the Dart mission consisted of only one impactor, it did not carry an explosive charge, it was simply the ship the size of a washing machine that impacted against the asteroid Dimorfos and managed to deflect it.

It did not remove it, that asteroid continues to circle around its largest asteroid and both continue on their trajectory, but it managed to cut the path of the dimorphic asteroid. An impact of these characteristics could deflect it enough so that it does not pose a risk of impact with the Earth, but of course the mission would have to be sent beforehand, it would have to be sent with enough time, it is no use sending it when the asteroid is at a distance similar to that of the moon or a million kilometers away, it would have to be much more to have a margin for the impact to deflect. the asteroid and let it pass by.

That is why I tell you that it would be better to avoid failures to send at least three rockets, three impactor ships, if the mission fails, if those three rockets or the rocket fails, what could be done is to determine the impact site quite accurately. This has already been achieved in six or seven previous cases.

Thank you for visiting my blog. If you like posts about #science, #planet, #politics, #rights #crypto, #traveling and discovering secrets and beauties of the #universe, feel free to Follow me as these are the topics I write about the most. Have a wonderful day and stay on this great platform :) :)

! The truth will set us free and science is the one that is closest to the truth!