RE: The profitability of trips to Mars.
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I suspect that the Martian economy will be independent from the Earth economy.
For example, the price of Martian gold would be different than Earth gold as it is difficult to move commodities between the planets and the ratio of Gold to Martian would be greater than the ratio of gold to earthling.
Since Mars will have a difficult economy then the first trips to Mars will produce a wild amount of Mars based wealth in its first decades.
!WINE
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I share your idea that the economies of the two planets will be different; due to the immensity of the distance.
But initially, before colonies and cities, the necessary economy must be created there to be independent in the future; initially they will be dependent to generate enough wealth for their economic independence.
Thanks, regards.