Splinterlands CA Jackpot Math
Conclave Arcana is coming to a close soon, and there are still LOTS of jackpots left in Gator's bucket. Over 4000. Meanwhile, there are Just 377k "pack equivalents" left in existence (across what's for sale, what's in players' hands, and what's in the DAO).
A "pack equivalent" (PE) is the value of a pack when counting its chances at landing a jackpot prize. Packs are worth the following:
- Standard pack = 1 PE
- Alchemy pack = 3 PE
- Legendary pack = 6 PE
Given the number of jackpot prizes left and the amount of PE equivalents in circulation, the CURRENT chance for you to get a jackpot from a pack is as follows:
- Standard pack = 1.07% (1 in ~93.5)
- Alchemy pack = 3.21% (1 in ~31)
- Legendary pack = 6.43% (1 in ~15.5)
SIX POINT FOR THREE PERCENT. Let that sink in.
And the kicker? The odds will keep increasing for the next 8 days as packs get burned each day. Hard to say how much will get burned exactly, as that depends on how many packs get bought, but it's not unrealistic to think another 200k PE will vanish in thin air. If that's the case, the odds above would roughly double. Not too shabby.
And now, here's Vinnie doing some mathin'...
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In addition to the % can you put in the 1 in x Packs for each Pack Type?
Done. Keeps changing though, and I'll be publishing updated numbers each day on X.
What pack rarity offers the best value in your opinion?
When it comes to jackpots specifically, the expected values are mathematically identical.
However, Alchemy continues to have the highest EV in my opinion because of the much higher chances of drawing black foils.
Thank you.
gg
gg
To @jacobtothe and friends 😁 You must be smart enough to understand you and your stupid friends have been exposed
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RE: Understanding Pointers in C Programming
Please Peakd, allow me to completely block spammers (Would you ever vote for this?) thanks for exposing yourself more @makerhacks
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Thank you for reading and viewing this post
To all the downvoters on Hive When the downvotes stop 🛑 and my rep is back I stop sharing the truth 🙏🏾
I'm sharing the truth I know it hurts you but it is what it is 😂🍻
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@jacobtothe and friends ✨⭕✨ I don't appreciate being downvoted by people like you who turn a blind eye to the truth 😂😂😂😂
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