RE: ChatGPT vs. University Professors -- Not a Fair Fight (Not Even Close)
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wait for GPT4, it is much much stronger and gets close to singularity in terms of processes.
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Without question the technology will only grow stronger.
I am by no means against those technological advances, just recognizing that we as educators must strive to stay ahead of the curve if we are to effectively serve our students. Ultimately, I see advances in technologies like this leading to a shift away from credential-based learning to skills-based learning.
Right now, students come to the university to get a 'diploma' that says they sat through a bunch of boring lectures and did (or had an AI tool do) a bunch of boring assignments.
Future employers are going to catch on to the fact that the diploma doesn't mean much. They are going to demand that would-be employees demonstrate specific skills and aptitudes more so than just a diploma.
In other words, the easier it is for lots of students to cheat and/or get an easy diploma, the more employers will be forced to incorporate other metrics rather than degree and gpa.
My personal opinion is degrees and diplomas are a thing of the past. I don't see any value in it.
For general topics. For engineering and building things that have a strong physical connection, it might be different if it's strongly practical connected.
The idea of learning a full life is more up-to-date than ever. IMO universities and schools are pretty inefficient to spread knowledge. Special things on the cutting edge.
Most of the jobs that result from those degrees will be sooner or later replaced by AI.
Yeah, that's a fear I have. Specialty fields requiring development and innovation should be safe for now. Generalized work, though, will become a thing of the past. However, that's decades away and I hope we learn to adapt or keep things controlled by that point.
IMO we will see it in the next 5 years massive and in 10 it will be common.
Its not anymore a decade long process.
You probably have the better estimate. Truckers will likely be the first ones to go. Tesla is already trying to certify self driving semi trucks.
I can tell you:
Texting, assistant work, design ( particular), coding ( particular/ more helper) and a lot of computer work is already on the way to get replaced.
i don't think coding will be replaced anytime soon, because someone needs to be there to understand and hotfix + creativity is also needed with the understanding.
But classic non-physical assistant jobs will be gone in 2 years.
Trucks and driving is more complex and maybe take longer, also upgrading all is a high-cost thing.