Most probable cause and clues related to the origin of COVID-19
One of the theoretical aspects always emphasized by methodology professors is that research is the result of a series of procedures carried out to support, refute or validate hypotheses; however, it is important to point out that these postulates are not always fulfilled.
Now, when in an investigation data are obtained that do not reveal accurate information, or when it is difficult for a researcher to answer the "Why" of a certain behavior, it is decided to make a list or brainstorming usually using the cause and effect model, in order to find the most probable cause, or the one that induces the greatest effect on the variable being investigated.
Fig. 2 Investigators sent by WHO find it difficult to determine the origin of COVID-19. Image of public domain, Author: Elf-Moondance, 2021
I wanted to make the above summary, a little to contextualize and exemplify the significance of the results recently socialized by the World Health Organization (WHO) on the origin of COVID-19, whose statements have revealed some keys to their scientific research.
It is relevant to point out that the experts sent to China by the WHO to investigate the origin of COVID-19 openly ruled out that the virus came from a laboratory leak, therefore, this hypothesis is extremely improbable, however, one element that the researchers did emphasize is that related to the origin of COVID-19 through transmission via an intermediate animal host (from animal to animal and then to humans).
Transmission through an intermediate animal host is the behavior that has been associated as the most probable cause, therefore, this research variable will require a more in-depth approach to determine which species are involved in the transmission of COVID-19.
Fig. 3 WHO experts believe that infection may have occurred via an intermediate animal hos. Image of public domain, Author: Syaibatulhamdi, 2020
It is understood that the results are not conclusive, and the researchers even suggest that the virus could have first circulated in a city other than Wuhan, which is why they are recommending to extend the study and examine blood samples and animal reservoirs both in China and in other countries.
BIBLIOGRAPHICAL REFERENCES CONSULTED:
[1] Talmazan Y., and Smith P. Unlikely that Covid came from Wuhan lab, WHO says. NBCNEWS. 2021. Article: Online access
[2] Meredith S. WHO says Covid ‘most likely’ originated in animals and spread to humans, dismisses lab leak theory. CNBC. 2021. Article: Online access
OBSERVATION
Hello @lupafilotaxia
Of course, we will have to wait much longer to find out what the source of the virus really was.
Despite the announcements I have my reservations about it, so I prefer to wait and investigate before making an opinion.
Excellent post, thanks for reading.
Best regards.
Greetings @janettyanez
I think so, in this convulsed context it will not be easy to determine what was really the origin of Covid-19, the most important thing at the moment is to stop the constant increase of infections. Thanks for visiting.
Hello @lupafilotaxia according to these conclusions it seems a never ending work, from my perspective more than something of natural origin it seems that this virus is of synthetic origin. Already the investigations will give us the certainty of what happened. Thanks for your contribution.
Greetings Professor @madridbg
The convulsed context, politically and economically is extremely unusual, the thesis of synthetic origin is one of the strongest. Thanks for your appreciation.
Greetings friend @lupafilotaxia. No doubt there are many hypotheses to investigate, the truth is that the investigators of the case have a lot of work ahead, let's just hope that the results can be verified and that there is no cover up. Thanks for sharing the information my friend.
Greetings dear friend @emiliomoron
At this point, the results are not satisfactory and therefore, the way to develop research is just beginning. The cover-up has been mentioned, but with the large economic losses, I believe that this is not an easy subject to cover up. Best regards.
Hopefully, research studies will reveal information that can be used to treat covid-19 disease and we will learn how to deal with these situations in the future.
Greetings friend @lupafilotaxia and thank you for your input.