RE: The End Of Work As We Know It
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I don't think there will be a complete stop to work. There would still be services, such as taking care of the elderly who require 24 hour supervision. There is the option for artisanal work. Performances, such as busking and concerts. Personalized cooking. In terms of finding work, the limit would principally be a lack of imagination.
As an example, who would have thought that people could make money blogging and posting videos? The other day I was watching some guys magnet fishing out of ponds and rivers. They make money from the videos and from selling the scrap they pull out of the water. As a matter of fact, my daughter just got into the YouTube monetization by posting cartoon videos that make absolutely no sense to me. But, she has a following, apparently.
I think the future of work has the potential to be more creative, or require more creativity. This, of course, circles back to the issue that some people will be left out of this revolution.
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I agree with you @travelwritemoney. Creatives are leading the way in this new economy.
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There is a presumption that creativity is only limited to humans. What if AI can eclipse us in creativity as well as speed and memory?
That is the danger. AI is already generating trailers for films and is capable of writing "articles". Sure at this point there is not much creativity to it but what is it really? Isnt creativity just align information or knowledge in a new way? AI certainly will be able to do that in the future and it will have access to a lot more information than any of us.
Personally, the creativity argument is losing steam as AI advances. It was once thought of as a safe haven yet is no longer.
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It's not the creativity itself that is my focus. I think it's more of our ability to think of ways to make money. There are tons of bands that aren't that great, musically. But, they have fans because people like watching a performance, which often sounds worse than the studio version. People go to Las Vegas to . . . well, many go to have regrets, . . . watch shows and be entertained. AI could produce perfect music; but, will it go on tour and trash hotels?
Theater continues to entertain despite the inefficiency of having a group of people perform several times a week. It would be more efficient to record it and be done. But, people want to see a live performance. Automation need not apply.
I agree with you that AI can learn to be creative. But, there's no triumph in it. With AI, you see the culmination of thousands and thousands of simulations in a few moments. It's cold and calculated. With a person, you see the culmination of months or years of practice to hone their skill. You share the joy of performing with the actors. But, this is not where I was going.
Circling back to the end of work, we could do without the repetitive, soul-sucking work. But, it will require having people really think about other ways to earn money. For people accustomed to trading hours of their lives for money, they'll need to learn how to "think up" money. This is the creativity that I suggest. It is the ability to see opportunity and fill the need. Many people lack that entrepreneurial view of life, which will be essential in a world of automation and AI. The gig economy is possibly a warm up to that sort of living where people will need to constantly market their skills and go from opportunity to opportunity. Many people lack the creativity to look beyond the 9 to 5 job. This is the creativity we need in the automated, AI world.
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