Why Most People Miss Technological Advancement

The future is very difficult to predict.

It is said the prediction game is one of simply being the least wrong. None of us have a crystal ball so being clear about how things will unfold is impossible.

That said, we can look to trends, hone in on the pace of advancement, and isolate our focus to that which is starting to have an impact to have some idea where things are going.

Of course, when stated in the moment, these ideas often seem absurd, especially to the general public.

Here is an example from Reddit where a comment was downvoted and the one that basically laughed at it was upvoted.

Naturally we are not dealing with huge numbers yet it is indicative of how things often go. The masses laugh at the idea as being absurd.

By the way, in this instance, the original poster was absolutely correct. Today, we have the ability to code photorealistic video with a sentence or two. Over the next year, we will likely see a large jump in both quality and length of these videos.

Why The Masses Miss What Is Taking Place

There are many reasons for this including demographics. Those who were reared in the era where change was slow find it more difficult to adapt to the new pace that was set. Even the early years of the Internet seem slow compared to right now.

Technology is accelerating. We are in a period where the digital is affecting the physical. This means that we can see entire industries flipped in just a few years.

Video conferencing is doing a number of commercial real estate. Have you seem what the values are in major cities? This is due to occupancy rates of roughly 50%. The idea of being present in person is no longer guaranteed.

Technological progress advances at a pace faster than human embracing of said technology. That, however, is condensing. People are more accepting of newer technologies, with adoption rates speeding up.

Ultimately, this entire conversation boils down to exponentiality. humans are not wired to think in this manner. Our natural tendency is to look at things in a linear fashion. We can grasp 2% growth in our economy, and extrapolate that out 25 or 30 years.

When we make a statement that the economy could grow at 30%-50% annually, people's minds are blown. They simply do not believe it is possible.

Nevertheless, if we look at exponential impacts, this rate of growth, called the economic singularity, is not only possible, it is likely at some point. If I had to guess, I would say this will be towards the end of the 2030s.

Do you have the inclination to state this idea is foolish. Be careful as we know some things do not age well on the Internet.

The one posting about video was certain he/she was right that we might see that in our great-grandkids times. I guess that family can pop out a generation each year.

The Digital World Is Taking Over

The digital world is taking over and it is one of compounding.

Whatever we focus upon within this world, we see expansion. Compute, images, video, memory, and bandwidth all keep growing. The Internet is the world's largest copy machine.

Coding is the same way.

The hardest development is the first line. Once the first feature is built, others can work off this. Over time, companies increase their output on their platforms simply due to the fact other code is already in place.

When it comes to AI, this is placed in the express lane. The capabilities of the systems are impacted by the data, algorithms, and compute. A single change can have significant effects. That said, when there is improvement in each area, we have a compounding effect.

In general, infrastructure is the hardest job to code.

To start, it is mundane with few rewards. The masses are not excited about infrastructure. At the same time, it is a smaller part of the developer field since it normally entails certain abilities the average coder doesn't have. This means working in advanced languages which are not commonly used for, say, website development.

Once, however, this is complete, then others can jump on top and start building. Here is where the numbers flip and many more can join in.

The result here is a pace that far exceeds the physical world. This is also changing with the potential of robotics.

Two Years Is A Lifetime

When looking at what is taking place, the moral of the story is two years is a lifetime.

The pace of change, especially regarding AI, is such that we will not be in the say place 2 years from now. The capabilities of these models will be such that society will be in the process of being completely transformed.

Again, this might sound absurd but then we have documented evident of how this was viewed 3 years ago. Is what I am stating here any crazier than the assertion put forth then?

As mentioned, ChatGPT was released in November 2022. Look at the advancement in under two years. The difference at this moment is we are operating from a much higher baseline.

What preceded is not lost.

That means, even advancement that mirrors the last 22 months will put us much further ahead as we start to close out 2026.

What happens if there is acceleration in many areas?

We have all seen exponential growth curves. Here is a basic chart of what it looks like.


Source

When it comes to generative Ai, we are at the early part of the curve. We have not hit what is commonly called the "knee", the point where the curve starts to go parabolic.

My view is we will hit that with the next generation of models.

The point here is to start trying to think in these terms. It is unnatural and difficult but it is the only way to stay abreast of what is going on. We are looking at a rapidly changing world due to technology.

And it is not slowing down.

The masses are going to miss what is happening and join in only when it is too obvious to be ignored. That is how it works.

They miss most of the advancement that is taking place right in front of them.

While none of us will be accurate on everything, we are in a much better place if we simply stay ahead of the curve in our understanding of where things have a high probability of heading.


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Really funny to see people on reddit being wrong and it comes back to hunt you. Next tech iteration thought to video with the neural ink chip in like 6 months :)

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Well, to be fair, all forecasting means you are going to be wrong since none of us know the future.

However, there are some really bad guesses, typically by people who have no idea what they are talking about.

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Yes some people don't pay attention to what is really happening in a specific field. In today society people are really focus on their immediate environment and some superficial stuff happening on TikTok, not neccesaerly digging too deep. I talked with a friend about 15 years ago about human going to Mars and to him it was impossible that would happen within his lifetime, today it seems like it could be a possibility.

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That is how things can change.

And what people think is impossible today will be very realistic in 15 years.

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Do you think brain like computers could exist monitoring society 24×7...

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What's interesting about paradigm shifts is that the person who was absolutely certain that it would take decades to happen will probably forget they ever felt that way when they get used to the thing they scoffed at (and even more impressive versions) being part of everyday life.

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Technology would spontaneously emerge as the better version than the past, because of the growth of science and newer innovation taking place all across the world.
By the years passing, we would definitely get to see transformation taking place in all the sectors that hold the key of technology as a model.

I am interested at AI and how it will change the next decade. Can machine vs the man be a tough challenge ?

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From my observation and following people who are a lot more knowledgeable, it seems we have made huge strides in technology but science is rather stagnant, especially physics. Hopefully that will change soon.

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The phenomenon of AI and how it is revolutionizing technology is something that is advancing by leaps and bounds. Many professionals will become obsolete if they are not able to adapt and use the potential of AI.

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Why most people miss technological inovations? Techno is most likely disruptive in a field that makes money, big tech companies want to get an edge on the population and make the most out of it. They influence media and what infos are distributed to us. For anyone who is not welling to search and deep dive into a topic, the only things we know is what media tells us. It is so easy to miss on revolutionary tech :(

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These days big tech is media. Look at X, Google, and Meta. They are the top sources of news and information.

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True. Let's see what it is going to look like when payment system get incorporated in those media platforms :O

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look in Argentina most of the people think that know about everything but know that we see ia doing easy jobs for we, is time to think twice what you will say; as a frontend dev i can say that every day i see a new tech to work it :D

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Again it's outstanding when you write. Prediction has always been a fun game from the beginning of time, and to predict from what I have seen and read from your articles one has to understand how systems and trends work and all these is being supported by information not really rare but requires discipline to follow and learn, and that's the opposite of what Masses do.

Honestly looking at the advancement of the digital realm, I'm always astonished by what I see, I was opportune to see a lot research of how to improve the human health using hypergravity, that alone was marveling, coming to the world of AI which is the personal lecturer of every student, in the long run I doubt Certain courses will be taught at all and some lecturers will be replaced by AI for thoeritical learning. Thanks for the enlightenment.

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I found there is a lot of value in following technological trends and being able to anticipate how things will unfold, with some degree of certainty. There will always be variances as technology evolves in ways we do not expect. Then we have the human embracing of it, which can alter things greatly.

That said, having a general direction of what is progressing, along with the pace, is helpful.

Right now AI is the top banana and going to impact everything.

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Let's delve into the Builda whale farm on the Hive, Gogreenbuddy, who is also colloquially known as the Marky mark USAINVOTE UPMYVOTE IPROMOTE PUNKTEAM and 100's more if not thousands this individual has asserted that his intentions behind this initiative are driven by a desire to contribute positively to the community. Now, let's explore what he is earning on a monthly basis from this venture. income is said to be generated through the use of multiple alternative accounts, which he utilizes to cast votes in favor of his own shit content. The community seems to have mixed feelings about this practice many are scared to speak up.

Are you ready to delve deeper into this topic and uncover more insights? If so, let's proceed. It's time to wake up and gain a clearer understanding of the situation at hand.

Buildawhale

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The Marky mark

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Usainvote

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Apeminingclub

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Gogreenbuddy

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On Hive a significant issue exists with automatic upvotes consistently rewarding the same individuals day in and day out

We want to address the issue of downvoting. It has caused pain to many people, and we want to make sure it doesn't happen again reply to @jacobtothe

On Hive a significant issue exists with automatic upvotes consistently rewarding the same individuals day in and day out

We hope that those who genuinely care about Hive will reconsider their actions, as continuing down this path could inadvertently harm innocent users who are unaware of these issues

lol the Marky mark keeps dreaming

There's been a notable increase in frustration and concern among many users

Reply 2 @crimsonclad You may consider yourself clever

Reply to @crimsonclad

Consider revising the value plan, as it's not providing significant benefits to HIVE

The Value Plan, as it stands, seems to be a one-sided relationship with the HIVE platform, where the benefits are one-way

Actions indeed speak louder than words, a fact we've all observed individuals may talk a good game, a whole lot of shit, but their actions often expose their genuine nature LOL

We consider it unwise to engage in harmful actions, even if you think you can escape the repercussions

https://hive.blog/politics/@jacobtothe/re-bpcvoter1-shjdc8

The Hive Police aka Hivewatchers, are the real heroes of Hive LOL, aren't they?

Feast your eyes on Hive's trending page, what a load of trash

LoL it's the Hivewatchers Hive Police, dishing out orders like a bakery LOL! Folks, do what you want with your Hive power, just as you please. And you, Hivewatchers, downvote away, but remember, judgment day's coming

Harry fam We're just here, laughing at the shenanigans on Hive! Sure, our content's getting downvoted, but hey, it's all part of the game LOL

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adm [-]
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steemcleaners [-]
jacobtothe [-]
logic [-]
chekohler [-]
b00m [-]
celestegray [-]
citizensmith [-]
sazbird [-]
technicalside [-]
bagpuss [-]
vxn666 [-]
spaminator [-]
meestemboom [-]
ihal0001 [-]
tillmea [-]
meesterleo [-]
meesterbrain [-]
unclefunker [-]
and 1 more

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On Hive, there's a user who frequently burns a significant amount of Hive LOL with his own accounts

How To Fool An Entire Population

it's so, so concerning to see Blocktrades delegating 2+ million Hive power to Buildawhale, and Buildawhale is downvoting legitimate content

We began sharing factual information following unwarranted downvotes on Hive it's all in the transactions

Upon examining our posts, you will notice they have been downvoted, and we've been labeled as scammers and spammers, which we find amusing. We consistently share new content

Once again, we ask why is our legit content being downvoted on Hive and what is the reason behind it. Hivewatchers ADM spaminator steemcleaners guiltyparties logic

We have Hive witnesses farming Hive, self-voting, operating comment farms, and self-funding projects with community resources

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The blog highlights a key issue: many miss technological shifts because they’re stuck in outdated models. To thrive, companies need to create fully adaptable ad tech platforms https://teqblaze.com/custom-adtech-platforms that can evolve with rapid changes, ensuring they capture opportunities in an ever-shifting digital landscape.

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