Correlation is not causation.
I’m all for body autonomy. You should be able to choose if the shot is right for you. Risk tolerance is unique per individual and the decision of how to mitigate risk should be up to the individual.
Here’s my hypothesis: immunity whether through vaccination or natural is limited by time. I caught Covid at the end of December/Early January. I was just tested for the antibodies yesterday and my results were that I didn’t have many antibodies left. I did not receive the vaccine at least yet. It’ll probably be mandated for me soon.
I know it’s not much more than conjecture due to the sample size but working as a paramedic I see a lot of people that are dealing with Covid. Most hospitalizations I see are either unvaccinated or only received the first shot. I have seen an uptick in the younger population getting sick with this iteration of the virus. Oddly enough, I haven’t seen many with natural immunity reinfected and some recent study I read said that “breakthrough” cases are more likely in vaccinated patients who had only received the first part of the series vs. the naturally immune.
I also feel like a huge part of this are people getting more lackadaisical with hygiene and PPE. They’re tired of being locked up. Hand washing and limited interaction in less ventilated areas are key IMO.
That all being said (since my antibodies are low) my PPE has been basically all that’s defended me from catching the virus again from confirmed Covid positive people.
I do think I’m seeing more cases now vs the first wave but a majority of these people that are going to the hospital were never vaccinated nor did they catch the virus in the first wave.
Coercion is not the answer in any case.