The first x-class flare of 2022

avatar
(Edited)


Let's gather as much information about this event as possible.

SolarSoft Latest Events

20 gev_20220330_1721 | Start:2022/03/30 17:21:00 | Stop: 17:46:00
Peak:17:37:00 | Class: X1.3 | N13W31 ( 2975 )

image.png

Here is a shot with a visible lens flare, timestamp 17:46:00

image.png


iSWA - iNtegrated Space Weather Analysis

Currently there is a 65% chance of another coronal mass ejection, most likely off region #3 with greater than 50% chance of another M or an X flare. I suspect that is likely as well.

image.png


AIA_4 Latest

This wavelength lets us see more of the surface of the sun. See how bright that top right region is?

image.png

A bit surprising,

There was only a 5% chance of an x-flare half an hour before the event.
image.png

Although anyone looking at all that activity could suspect it was possible.

image.png

Multi-wavelength photography

This image combines photos at 171, 211 & 304 and reveal different layers of the Sun.

image.png

A close up


The solar wind forecast has not yet been updated, as the X-flare just happened.
You can see that two CME's from the M-flares we had last night, are about to impact.

image.png

Here is the update!

iSWACygnetStreamer.gif

"This CME may affect STEREO B and STEREO A (glancing blow). The leading edge of the CME will reach STEREO B at 2022-04-02T10:16Z and the flank of the CME will reach STEREO A at 2022-04-02T10:00Z (plus minus 7 hours)."

"The CME may impact NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the leading edge of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2022-04-02T05:41Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-7 (below minor to strong)."


Look at all these C-class events, 2975 is certainly a hotspot!

image.png
(Latest Events)

Keep your eyes on the skies!

we are likely in for some bright Aurora Borealis this evening!


Composed by @aristaeus [ The Database ]



0
0
0.000
1 comments