Can Uber Driverless Cars Finally Deliver Its Long-Promised Profits?

Uber has redefined how millions of people move around cities, and forced traditional taxi industries into retreat. Yet, for all its growth, Uber has long carried one stubborn burden "profitability"

That began to change in 2023, when Uber reported its first full year of operating profit. It was a symbolic moment and a proof that the ride-hailing giant could do more than burn cash.

But for Uber’s leadership and investors, profitability isn’t the finish line. It’s just the starting point of the race to go driverless.

Uber’s business model has always rested on a paradox. It doesn’t own cars, but it relies on millions of drivers worldwide to make the system work. Those drivers are both Uber’s greatest asset and its biggest expense. For years, executives have hinted at the ultimate solution (remove the human from behind the wheel)

Autonomous vehicles promise to cut costs, standardize safety, and make rides available around the clock without wage disputes, strikes, or regulatory headaches. Put simply, if Uber can swap human drivers for fleets of self-driving cars, it could finally unlock the kind of margins that investors have been waiting for since its founding in 2009.

This isn’t Uber’s first dance with driverless dreams. The company once poured billions into its own self-driving research arm, only to sell it off in 2020 after a fatal crash involving an autonomous test vehicle. The retreat looked like an admission that autonomy was too expensive, too risky, and too far away.

Now, five years later, Uber is back at it this time with a different playbook. Instead of trying to build everything in-house, Uber has struck a flurry of partnerships with established autonomous car companies, including Waymo and other AI-driven mobility firms. Rather than reinvent the wheel, Uber is betting it can act as the world’s largest marketplace for driverless rides.

The timing is no coincidence. In markets like Phoenix and San Francisco, riders can already summon a driverless Waymo. Tesla continues to push “Full Self Driving.” Chinese players like Baidu are rapidly scaling robotaxi fleets. Uber knows that if it doesn’t adapt, it risks being left behind by competitors who can offer cheaper, safer, and fully automated rides.

Still, the road ahead is anything but smooth. Technical hurdles remain. Regulators move cautiously, especially after past accidents. And many passengers still hesitate at the idea of stepping into a car with no human at the wheel.

Technology has matured. AI and sensor systems are far more advanced than they were a decade ago. For another, Uber isn’t shouldering the R&D costs alone; its partners take on engineering while Uber provides the global platform and customer base.

If the gamble pays off, Uber could evolve from a company endlessly fighting for slim profits into the undisputed operating system of urban mobility. Imagine opening your Uber app and instead of choosing between “UberX” or “Uber Black,” you are choosing between “Driver” and “Driverless.”