RE: Robert Downey Jr: Clueless About How AI Is Changing Everything
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I don't doubt that AI is going to be disruptive. However, I don't see it completely replacing actors. I can see that happening in commercials, maybe for extras (maybe not since extras are cheap), and even for certain scenes in movies. I just don't see it happening entirely just like I don't see that happening with other art forms. Might as well say that people are going to start falling in love and marrying AIs. While I don't doubt that will happen too, i don't see it becoming the norm.
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You have to keep in mind, to most, the people we are talking about (actors, celebrities) are two dimensional figures. Unless you see them live, they exist on a screen.
At the same time, Hollywood killed off the movie star. Most of the hits, over the last decade, were not the actor but the character. With the superhero genre, that is what got the attention.
My view is the concept is too foreign for people to accept now but, in the future, will become normal.
To me, Robert Downey Jr. IS Iron Man. Can't see someone else in that role. I know they have swapped out some actors (notably Spider-Man) but people still have their favorite actor for that role. And it isn't anything new. Look at James Bond (Roger Moore is my personal favorite but I will concede that Sean Connery was the best).
I attend MegaCon every year in Orlando and if attendance and what people are willing to pay for a photo-op are any indication (both skyrocketing over recent years), movie stars and other celebrities are still as popular as ever. Trust me when I say Tom Hiddleston (for example) and not just Loki is very popular.
I think there is a psychological aspect too. I think people will have a hard time identifying with characters they know to be AI. Also, even if AI gets very very close, if it doesn't nail it 100%, there's going to be sort of a subtle Uncanny Valley effect.
I mean I get what you are saying, I'm just not convinced AI characters are going to be as good or as desirable for an audience as real actors. At least not in the near future. I think it will get 99% of the way there pretty quickly but that last 1% is going to be a killer and it will make all the difference.